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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Escobedo x Laredo Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 3
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Spain Tercera Group 3
Escobedo Escobedo
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 26% 1 X 2
Laredo Laredo
ODD: @3.35 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Escobedo x Laredo Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 3

Our betting tip for Escobedo x Laredo, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Escobedo Escobedo
1.84
X
3.35
Laredo Laredo
3.77

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Escobedo x Laredo:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1675.00!

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Important information for your tip for Escobedo x Laredo:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Escobedo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $120.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Escobedo scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Escobedo conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Laredo.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Escobedo is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Escobedo x Laredo

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Escobedo x Laredo?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Escobedo x Laredo:

Analysis from Escobedo x Laredo for the Spain Tercera Group 3 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Escobedo X Laredo – Spain Tercera Group 3
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Escobedo – Winning probability: 39.38% | Fair line: 2.54
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.24% | Fair line: 2.92
๐Ÿ”ด Laredo – Winning probability: 26.38% | Fair line: 3.79
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Escobedo
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Escobedo x Laredo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Escobedo x Laredo

Should you bet on Escobedo?

๐Ÿ”ต Escobedo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $327.60
  • And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$282.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $799.00
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$139.00.

Should you bet on Laredo?

๐Ÿ”ด Laredo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.77. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $720.20;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just ๐Ÿ’ฐ$19.80 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Escobedo x Laredo

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Escobedo
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Escobedo x Laredo

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Escobedo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Escobedo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Laredo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Escobedo x Laredo

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves