Escobedo x Real Aviles CF Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
| 📅 1/12/2024 11:00 |
 Escobedo3.78 |
X 3.04 |
Real Aviles CF  1.92 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Escobedo x Real Aviles CF:
👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Escobedo x Real Aviles CF
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The main points for the tip for Escobedo x Real Aviles CF: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Escobedo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Escobedo x Real Aviles CF for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 – 1 of December
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🏟️ Escobedo X Real Aviles CF – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Escobedo x Real Aviles CF right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Escobedo x Real Aviles CF
Is it a good idea to bet on Escobedo?
🔵 Escobedo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 200 times – profiting $556.00;
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$244.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $673.20;
- And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$3.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on Real Aviles CF?
🔴 Real Aviles CF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.92. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $432.40;
- And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$97.60, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Handicaps analysis for the match Escobedo x Real Aviles CF
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Escobedo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Escobedo x Real Aviles CF
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Escobedo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Escobedo. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Escobedo x Real Aviles CF
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
