ESM Kolea x USM El Harrach Betting tips for December 19 in Algeria Division 2
| π
19/12/2025 14:00 |
ESM Kolea2.60 |
X 2.85 |
USM El Harrach ![]() 2.65 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for ESM Kolea x USM El Harrach:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for ESM Kolea x USM El Harrach
Some important points for the tip for ESM Kolea x USM El Harrach:
π If you had bet $100 on ESM Kolea in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $270.0.
π If you had bet $100 on USM El Harrach in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $350.0.
π ESM Kolea did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
π In the last 5 matches as the away team, USM El Harrach scored at least 1 goal(s).
π In the last 3 ESM Kolea matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
π In the last 4 road matches, USM El Harrach has not lost any of them.
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Analysis from ESM Kolea x USM El Harrach for the Algeria Division 2 – 19 of December
ποΈ ESM Kolea X USM El Harrach – Algeria Division 2
π
19 of December, 2025 – 14:00
π΅ ESM Kolea – Winning probability: 34.98% | Fair line: 2.86
βͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.15% | Fair line: 2.77
π΄ USM El Harrach – Winning probability: 28.87% | Fair line: 3.46
β Handicap 1×2: 0.0 ESM Kolea
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β³ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks
When the best bet on ESM Kolea x USM El Harrach is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1454884 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for ESM Kolea x USM El Harrach
Is it a good idea to bet on ESM Kolea?
π΅ ESM Kolea: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $560.00;
- And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$90.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 360 times – profiting $666.00;
- And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just π°$26.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is it worth betting on USM El Harrach?
π΄ USM El Harrach: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $478.50
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$231.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match ESM Kolea x USM El Harrach
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: 0.0 ESM Kolea
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ESM Kolea x USM El Harrach
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 ESM Kolea and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 ESM Kolea.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ESM Kolea x USM El Harrach
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

ESM Kolea