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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» ESM Kolea x USM El Harrach Betting tips for December 19 in Algeria Division 2
Friday, 19 December 2025, 14h00 Algeria Division 2
ESM Kolea ESM Kolea
PREDICTION No tip
USM El Harrach USM El Harrach
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ESM Kolea x USM El Harrach Betting tips for December 19 in Algeria Division 2

Our betting tip for ESM Kolea x USM El Harrach, Friday, 19/12/2025
πŸ“… 19/12/2025
14:00
ESM Kolea ESM Kolea
2.60
X
2.85
USM El Harrach USM El Harrach
2.65

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for ESM Kolea x USM El Harrach:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for ESM Kolea x USM El Harrach

Some important points for the tip for ESM Kolea x USM El Harrach:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on ESM Kolea in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $270.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on USM El Harrach in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $350.0.
πŸ‘‰ ESM Kolea did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, USM El Harrach scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 ESM Kolea matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, USM El Harrach has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from ESM Kolea x USM El Harrach for the Algeria Division 2 – 19 of December

🏟️ ESM Kolea X USM El Harrach – Algeria Division 2
πŸ“… 19 of December, 2025 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ ESM Kolea – Winning probability: 34.98% | Fair line: 2.86
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.15% | Fair line: 2.77
πŸ”΄ USM El Harrach – Winning probability: 28.87% | Fair line: 3.46
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 ESM Kolea
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on ESM Kolea x USM El Harrach is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1454884 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for ESM Kolea x USM El Harrach

Is it a good idea to bet on ESM Kolea?

πŸ”΅ ESM Kolea: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $560.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$90.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – profiting $666.00;
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$26.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on USM El Harrach?

πŸ”΄ USM El Harrach: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $478.50
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$231.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match ESM Kolea x USM El Harrach

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 ESM Kolea
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ESM Kolea x USM El Harrach

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 ESM Kolea and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 ESM Kolea.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ESM Kolea x USM El Harrach

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves