Espanyol x Celta Vigo Betting tips for November 30 in Spain La Liga
| 📅 30/11/2024 17:30 |
 Espanyol3.15 |
X 3.33 |
Celta Vigo  2.24 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Espanyol x Celta Vigo:
🔮 Celta Vigo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Celta Vigo, you can win up to $1120.00!
|
Important information for your tip for Espanyol x Celta Vigo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Espanyol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $410.0. |
Looking for another bookie to bet on Espanyol x Celta Vigo?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Espanyol x Celta Vigo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Espanyol x Celta Vigo for the Spain La Liga – 30 of November
|
🏟️ Espanyol X Celta Vigo – Spain La Liga |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Espanyol x Celta Vigo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Espanyol x Celta Vigo
Is betting on Espanyol worth it?
🔵 Espanyol: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $494.50;
- And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$275.50.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $675.70
- And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$34.30.
Is it a good idea to bet on Celta Vigo?
🔴 Celta Vigo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.24. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $595.20
- And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$75.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Espanyol x Celta Vigo
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Espanyol
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Espanyol x Celta Vigo
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Espanyol and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Espanyol.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Celta Vigo.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Espanyol x Celta Vigo
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
