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Home » Predictions » Others » Espanyol x Valladolid Betting tips for January 17 in Spain La Liga
Friday, 17 January 2025, 20h00 Spain La Liga
Espanyol Espanyol
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 32% 1 X 2
Valladolid Valladolid
ODD: @3.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Espanyol x Valladolid Betting tips for January 17 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Espanyol x Valladolid, Friday, 17/1/2025
📅 17/1/2025
20:00
Espanyol Espanyol
1.88
X
3.30
Valladolid Valladolid
4.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Espanyol x Valladolid:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Espanyol x Valladolid:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Espanyol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-170.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Valladolid in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-345.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Valladolid, Espanyol scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Espanyol matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Valladolid matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Valladolid conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Espanyol has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Valladolid.
👉 It is not a good time for Valladolid as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Espanyol x Valladolid for the Spain La Liga – 17 of January

🏟️ Espanyol X Valladolid – Spain La Liga
📅 17 of January, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Espanyol – Winning probability: 48.33% | Fair line: 2.07
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.33% | Fair line: 3.09
🔴 Valladolid – Winning probability: 19.34% | Fair line: 5.17
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Espanyol
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Espanyol and Valladolid.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1247006 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Espanyol x Valladolid

Is it a good idea to bet on Espanyol?

🔵 Espanyol: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $422.40
  • And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$97.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $736.00;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$56.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Valladolid?

🔴 Valladolid: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $665.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$145.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Espanyol x Valladolid

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Espanyol
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Espanyol x Valladolid

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Espanyol and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Espanyol.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Espanyol x Valladolid

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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