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Home » Predictions » Others » Estrela Amadora U23 x Estoril U23 Betting tips for December 14 in Portugal U23 League
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 11h00 Portugal U23 League
Estrela Amadora U23 Estrela Amadora U23
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Estoril U23 Estoril U23
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Estrela Amadora U23 x Estoril U23 Betting tips for December 14 in Portugal U23 League

Our betting tip for Estrela Amadora U23 x Estoril U23, Sunday, 14/12/2025
📅 14/12/2025
11:00
Estrela Amadora U23 Estrela Amadora U23
2.70
X
3.20
Estoril U23 Estoril U23
2.32

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Estrela Amadora U23 x Estoril U23:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Estrela Amadora U23 x Estoril U23

Important information for your tip for Estrela Amadora U23 x Estoril U23:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Estrela Amadora U23 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-305.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Estoril U23 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 Estrela Amadora U23 matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Estrela Amadora U23 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Estoril U23 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Estrela Amadora U23 conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Estoril U23.
👉 It is not a good time for Estoril U23 as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Estrela Amadora U23 x Estoril U23 for the Portugal U23 League – 14 of December

🏟️ Estrela Amadora U23 X Estoril U23 – Portugal U23 League
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 Estrela Amadora U23 – Winning probability: 31.44% | Fair line: 3.18
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.24% | Fair line: 3.81
🔴 Estoril U23 – Winning probability: 42.32% | Fair line: 2.36
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Estrela Amadora U23
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Estrela Amadora U23 and Estoril U23.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452657 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Estrela Amadora U23 x Estoril U23

Is it worth betting on Estrela Amadora U23?

🔵 Estrela Amadora U23: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $527.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$163.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $572.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$168.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Estoril U23?

🔴 Estoril U23: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.32. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $554.40;
  • And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$25.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Estrela Amadora U23 x Estoril U23

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Estrela Amadora U23
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Estrela Amadora U23 x Estoril U23

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Estrela Amadora U23 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Estrela Amadora U23.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Estrela Amadora U23.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Estrela Amadora U23 x Estoril U23

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves