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Home » Predictions » Others » Estudiantes LP x Independiente Rivadavia Betting tips for October 31 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Thursday, 31 October 2024, 22h00 Argentina Liga Profesional
Estudiantes LP Estudiantes LP
PREDICTION Estudiantes LP wins Probability 79% 1 X 2
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
ODD: @1.57 Don't miss this prediction!

Estudiantes LP x Independiente Rivadavia Betting tips for October 31 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Estudiantes LP x Independiente Rivadavia, Thursday, 31/10/2024
📅 31/10/2024
22:00
Estudiantes LP Estudiantes LP
1.57
X
3.53
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
6.05

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Estudiantes LP x Independiente Rivadavia:

🔮 Estudiantes LP wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Estudiantes LP, you can win up to $785.00!

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The main points for the tip for Estudiantes LP x Independiente Rivadavia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Estudiantes LP in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-117.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Rivadavia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Estudiantes LP scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Independiente Rivadavia matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Independiente Rivadavia conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Estudiantes LP x Independiente Rivadavia for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 31 of October

🏟️ Estudiantes LP X Independiente Rivadavia – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 31 of October, 2024 – 22:00
🔵 Estudiantes LP – Winning probability: 79.17% | Fair line: 1.26
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.51% | Fair line: 6.89
🔴 Independiente Rivadavia – Winning probability: 6.32% | Fair line: 15.83
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Estudiantes LP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Estudiantes LP x Independiente Rivadavia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1213279 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Estudiantes LP x Independiente Rivadavia

Should you bet on Estudiantes LP?

🔵 Estudiantes LP: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 79.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.57. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 790 times – this would give you a profit of $450.30
  • And would lose other 210 times – having a loss of -$210.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$240.30.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.53. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $379.50;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$470.50.

Should you bet on Independiente Rivadavia?

🔴 Independiente Rivadavia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – profiting $303.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$637.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Estudiantes LP x Independiente Rivadavia

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Estudiantes LP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Estudiantes LP x Independiente Rivadavia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Estudiantes LP and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Estudiantes LP.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Independiente Rivadavia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Estudiantes LP x Independiente Rivadavia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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