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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Estudiantes LP x Instituto AC Cordoba Betting tips for October 20 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Sunday, 20 October 2024, 20h15 Argentina Liga Profesional
Estudiantes LP Estudiantes LP
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 33% 1 X 2
Instituto AC Cordoba Instituto AC Cordoba
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

Estudiantes LP x Instituto AC Cordoba Betting tips for October 20 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Estudiantes LP x Instituto AC Cordoba, Sunday, 20/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 20/10/2024
20:15
Estudiantes LP Estudiantes LP
2.15
X
3.00
Instituto AC Cordoba Instituto AC Cordoba
3.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Estudiantes LP x Instituto AC Cordoba:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

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The main points for the tip for Estudiantes LP x Instituto AC Cordoba:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Estudiantes LP in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-132.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Instituto AC Cordoba in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Estudiantes LP scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Instituto AC Cordoba scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Estudiantes LP matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Instituto AC Cordoba conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Estudiantes LP x Instituto AC Cordoba for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 20 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Estudiantes LP X Instituto AC Cordoba – Argentina Liga Profesional
๐Ÿ“… 20 of October, 2024 – 20:15
๐Ÿ”ต Estudiantes LP – Winning probability: 48.40% | Fair line: 2.07
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.86% | Fair line: 2.95
๐Ÿ”ด Instituto AC Cordoba – Winning probability: 17.74% | Fair line: 5.64
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Estudiantes LP
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Estudiantes LP x Instituto AC Cordoba right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1204968 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Estudiantes LP x Instituto AC Cordoba

Should you bet on Estudiantes LP?

๐Ÿ”ต Estudiantes LP: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $552.00
  • And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just ๐Ÿ’ฐ$32.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $680.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$20.00.

Is betting on Instituto AC Cordoba worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Instituto AC Cordoba: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $450.00;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$370.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Estudiantes LP x Instituto AC Cordoba

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Estudiantes LP
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Estudiantes LP x Instituto AC Cordoba

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Estudiantes LP, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Estudiantes LP.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Instituto AC Cordoba.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Estudiantes LP x Instituto AC Cordoba

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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