Estudiantes LP x Newells Betting tips for March 15 in Argentina Liga Profesional
| 📅 15/3/2025 21:30 |
 Estudiantes LP1.60 |
X 3.70 |
Newells  5.51 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Estudiantes LP x Newells:
🔮 Estudiantes LP wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Estudiantes LP, you can win up to $800.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Estudiantes LP x Newells: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Estudiantes LP in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $391.0. |
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Analysis from Estudiantes LP x Newells for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 15 of March
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🏟️ Estudiantes LP X Newells – Argentina Liga Profesional |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Estudiantes LP x Newells right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281748 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Estudiantes LP x Newells
Is it worth betting on Estudiantes LP?
🔵 Estudiantes LP: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 80.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 810 times – having a profit of $486.00;
- And would lose other 190 times – losing -$190.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$296.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $378.00
- And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$482.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Newells?
🔴 Newells: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.51. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $225.50;
- And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$724.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Estudiantes LP x Newells
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Estudiantes LP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Estudiantes LP x Newells
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Estudiantes LP, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Estudiantes LP.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Estudiantes LP.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Estudiantes LP x Newells
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
