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Home » Predictions » Others » Estudiantes LP x Platense Betting tips for March 6 in Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional
Wednesday, 06 March 2024, 22h15 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional
Estudiantes LP Estudiantes LP
PREDICTION No tip
Platense Platense
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Estudiantes LP x Platense Betting tips for March 6 in Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Estudiantes LP x Platense, Wednesday, 6/3/2024
📅 6/3/2024
22:15
Estudiantes LP Estudiantes LP
1.81
X
3.30
Platense Platense
4.40

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Estudiantes LP x Platense:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Estudiantes LP x Platense

The main points for the tip for Estudiantes LP x Platense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Estudiantes LP in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $203.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Platense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Estudiantes LP did not concede a goal in the last 6 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 Estudiantes LP matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Estudiantes LP x Platense?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Estudiantes LP x Platense:

Analysis from Estudiantes LP x Platense for the Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional – 6 of March

🏟️ Estudiantes LP X Platense – Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional
📅 6 of March, 2024 – 22:15
🔵 Estudiantes LP – Winning probability: 54.31% | Fair line: 1.84
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.30% | Fair line: 3.1
🔴 Platense – Winning probability: 13.40% | Fair line: 7.46
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Estudiantes LP
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Estudiantes LP x Platense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1071592 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Estudiantes LP x Platense

Is it a good idea to bet on Estudiantes LP?

🔵 Estudiantes LP: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.81. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $437.40;
  • And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$22.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $736.00
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$56.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on Platense worth it?

🔴 Platense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $442.00
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$428.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Estudiantes LP x Platense

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Estudiantes LP
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Estudiantes LP x Platense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Estudiantes LP and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Estudiantes LP.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Estudiantes LP.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Estudiantes LP x Platense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves