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Home » Predictions » Estudiantes LP Reserves x Newells Reserves Betting tips for April 15 in Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves
Tuesday, 15 April 2025, 18h00 Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves
Estudiantes LP Reserves Estudiantes LP Reserves
PREDICTION Estudiantes LP Reserves wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
Newells Reserves Newells Reserves
ODD: @1.83 Don't miss this prediction!

Estudiantes LP Reserves x Newells Reserves Betting tips for April 15 in Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves

Our betting tip for Estudiantes LP Reserves x Newells Reserves, Tuesday, 15/4/2025
📅 15/4/2025
18:00
Estudiantes LP Reserves Estudiantes LP Reserves
1.83
X
3.14
Newells Reserves Newells Reserves
4.13

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Estudiantes LP Reserves x Newells Reserves:

🔮 Estudiantes LP Reserves wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Estudiantes LP Reserves, you can win up to $915.00!

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The main points for the tip for Estudiantes LP Reserves x Newells Reserves:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Estudiantes LP Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $214.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Newells Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-135.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Estudiantes LP Reserves scored at least 3 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Newells Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Newells Reserves, Estudiantes LP Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Estudiantes LP Reserves matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Estudiantes LP Reserves x Newells Reserves, with Estudiantes LP Reserves as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Estudiantes LP Reserves conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Newells Reserves.
👉 Estudiantes LP Reserves is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Newells Reserves has not lost any of them.
👉 Estudiantes LP Reserves has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Newells Reserves playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Estudiantes LP Reserves x Newells Reserves for the Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves – 15 of April

🏟️ Estudiantes LP Reserves X Newells Reserves – Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves
📅 15 of April, 2025 – 18:00
🔵 Estudiantes LP Reserves – Winning probability: 59.63% | Fair line: 1.68
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.40% | Fair line: 3.94
🔴 Newells Reserves – Winning probability: 14.97% | Fair line: 6.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Estudiantes LP Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Estudiantes LP Reserves and Newells Reserves.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1304083 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Estudiantes LP Reserves x Newells Reserves

Is it a good idea to bet on Estudiantes LP Reserves?

🔵 Estudiantes LP Reserves: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 59.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $498.00;
  • And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$98.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.14. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $535.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$215.00.

Is betting on Newells Reserves worth it?

🔴 Newells Reserves: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.13. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $469.50;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$380.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Estudiantes LP Reserves x Newells Reserves

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Estudiantes LP Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Estudiantes LP Reserves x Newells Reserves

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Estudiantes LP Reserves, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Estudiantes LP Reserves.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Estudiantes LP Reserves x Newells Reserves

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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