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Home » Predictions » Others » Estudiantes Tecos x Mineros de Fresnillo Betting tips for November 2 in Mexico Segunda Division
Saturday, 02 November 2024, 00h00 Mexico Segunda Division
Estudiantes Tecos Estudiantes Tecos
PREDICTION Estudiantes Tecos wins Probability 75% 1 X 2
Mineros de Fresnillo Mineros de Fresnillo
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Estudiantes Tecos x Mineros de Fresnillo Betting tips for November 2 in Mexico Segunda Division

Our betting tip for Estudiantes Tecos x Mineros de Fresnillo, Saturday, 2/11/2024
📅 2/11/2024
00:00
Estudiantes Tecos Estudiantes Tecos
1.50
X
4.07
Mineros de Fresnillo Mineros de Fresnillo
5.38

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Estudiantes Tecos x Mineros de Fresnillo:

🔮 Estudiantes Tecos wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Estudiantes Tecos, you can win up to $750.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Estudiantes Tecos x Mineros de Fresnillo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Estudiantes Tecos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $210.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Mineros de Fresnillo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Estudiantes Tecos scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Mineros de Fresnillo, Estudiantes Tecos scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Estudiantes Tecos matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Estudiantes Tecos x Mineros de Fresnillo, with Estudiantes Tecos as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Mineros de Fresnillo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Estudiantes Tecos conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Mineros de Fresnillo.
👉 Estudiantes Tecos is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Estudiantes Tecos x Mineros de Fresnillo for the Mexico Segunda Division – 2 of November

🏟️ Estudiantes Tecos X Mineros de Fresnillo – Mexico Segunda Division
📅 2 of November, 2024 – 00:00
🔵 Estudiantes Tecos – Winning probability: 75.32% | Fair line: 1.33
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.30% | Fair line: 6.53
🔴 Mineros de Fresnillo – Winning probability: 9.38% | Fair line: 10.66
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Estudiantes Tecos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Estudiantes Tecos x Mineros de Fresnillo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213888 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Estudiantes Tecos x Mineros de Fresnillo

Is it a good idea to bet on Estudiantes Tecos?

🔵 Estudiantes Tecos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 75.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 750 times – having a profit of $375.00;
  • And would have lost other 250 times – with a loss of -$250.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$125.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.07. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $460.50
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$389.50.

Is it worth betting on Mineros de Fresnillo?

🔴 Mineros de Fresnillo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $394.20;
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$515.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Estudiantes Tecos x Mineros de Fresnillo

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Estudiantes Tecos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Estudiantes Tecos x Mineros de Fresnillo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Estudiantes Tecos and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Estudiantes Tecos.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Mineros de Fresnillo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Estudiantes Tecos x Mineros de Fresnillo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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