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Home » Predictions » Others » Ethiopia Nigd Bank x Arba Minch Betting tips for December 19 in Ethiopia Premier League
Friday, 19 December 2025, 12h00 Ethiopia Premier League
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank
PREDICTION Arba Minch Wins Probability 50% 1 X 2
Arba Minch Arba Minch
ODD: @3.25
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Ethiopia Nigd Bank x Arba Minch Betting tips for December 19 in Ethiopia Premier League

Our betting tip for Ethiopia Nigd Bank x Arba Minch, Friday, 19/12/2025
📅 19/12/2025
12:00
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2.30
X
2.80
Arba Minch Arba Minch
3.25

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ethiopia Nigd Bank x Arba Minch:

🔮 Arba Minch wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arba Minch, you can win up to $1625.00!

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Important information for your tip for Ethiopia Nigd Bank x Arba Minch:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ethiopia Nigd Bank in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-88.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Arba Minch in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Ethiopia Nigd Bank scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Arba Minch matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Arba Minch conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Ethiopia Nigd Bank x Arba Minch?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Ethiopia Nigd Bank x Arba Minch:

Analysis from Ethiopia Nigd Bank x Arba Minch for the Ethiopia Premier League – 19 of December

🏟️ Ethiopia Nigd Bank X Arba Minch – Ethiopia Premier League
📅 19 of December, 2025 – 12:00
🔵 Ethiopia Nigd Bank – Winning probability: 24.63% | Fair line: 4.06
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.35% | Fair line: 3.95
🔴 Arba Minch – Winning probability: 50.02% | Fair line: 2.0
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Ethiopia Nigd Bank x Arba Minch is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1454884 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ethiopia Nigd Bank x Arba Minch

Should you bet on Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

🔵 Ethiopia Nigd Bank: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $325.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$425.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$300.00.

Is betting on Arba Minch worth it?

🔴 Arba Minch: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – profiting $1125.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$625.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ethiopia Nigd Bank x Arba Minch

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ethiopia Nigd Bank x Arba Minch

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Ethiopia Nigd Bank, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Ethiopia Nigd Bank.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Arba Minch.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ethiopia Nigd Bank x Arba Minch

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves