Ethiopian Coffee x Fasil Kenema Betting tips for April 15 in Ethiopia Premier League

Our betting tip for Ethiopian Coffee x Fasil Kenema, Tuesday, 15/4/2025

📅 15/4/2025 12:00

Ethiopian Coffee 2.25

X 2.86

Fasil Kenema 3.15

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Ethiopian Coffee x Fasil Kenema:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Ethiopian Coffee x Fasil Kenema

The main points for the tip for Ethiopian Coffee x Fasil Kenema: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ethiopian Coffee in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $269.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fasil Kenema in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $533.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Ethiopian Coffee scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Fasil Kenema, Ethiopian Coffee scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Ethiopian Coffee x Fasil Kenema, with Ethiopian Coffee as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Fasil Kenema conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Ethiopian Coffee conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Fasil Kenema. 👉 Ethiopian Coffee has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Fasil Kenema playing at home.

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Analysis from Ethiopian Coffee x Fasil Kenema for the Ethiopia Premier League – 15 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ethiopian Coffee x Fasil Kenema right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1304083 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Ethiopian Coffee x Fasil Kenema

Is it a good idea to bet on Ethiopian Coffee?

🔵 Ethiopian Coffee: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 380 times – profiting $475.00;
• And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$145.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.86. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $651.00;
• And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1.00.

Should you bet on Fasil Kenema?

🔴 Fasil Kenema: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $580.50;
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$149.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ethiopian Coffee x Fasil Kenema

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Ethiopian Coffee
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ethiopian Coffee x Fasil Kenema

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Ethiopian Coffee and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Ethiopian Coffee.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Fasil Kenema.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ethiopian Coffee x Fasil Kenema

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 1.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.00 goals.