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Home Β» Predictions Β» Ethiopian Insurance FC x Ethio Electric FC Betting tips for September 30 in Ethiopia Premier League
Monday, 30 September 2024, 13h00 Ethiopia Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance FC Ethiopian Insurance FC
PREDICTION No tip
Ethio Electric FC Ethio Electric FC
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Ethiopian Insurance FC x Ethio Electric FC Betting tips for September 30 in Ethiopia Premier League

Our betting tip for Ethiopian Insurance FC x Ethio Electric FC, Monday, 30/9/2024
πŸ“… 30/9/2024
13:00
Ethiopian Insurance FC Ethiopian Insurance FC
2.10
X
3.12
Ethio Electric FC Ethio Electric FC
3.26

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Ethiopian Insurance FC x Ethio Electric FC:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Ethiopian Insurance FC x Ethio Electric FC

Important information for your tip for Ethiopian Insurance FC x Ethio Electric FC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ethiopian Insurance FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-39.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ethio Electric FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-143.0.
πŸ‘‰ Ethio Electric FC did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as away team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Ethiopian Insurance FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Ethio Electric FC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 road matches, Ethio Electric FC has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Ethiopian Insurance FC x Ethio Electric FC for the Ethiopia Premier League – 30 of September

🏟️ Ethiopian Insurance FC X Ethio Electric FC – Ethiopia Premier League
πŸ“… 30 of September, 2024 – 13:00
πŸ”΅ Ethiopian Insurance FC – Winning probability: 46.29% | Fair line: 2.16
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.45% | Fair line: 3.28
πŸ”΄ Ethio Electric FC – Winning probability: 23.26% | Fair line: 4.3
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Ethiopian Insurance FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ethiopian Insurance FC x Ethio Electric FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191189 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ethiopian Insurance FC x Ethio Electric FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Ethiopian Insurance FC?

πŸ”΅ Ethiopian Insurance FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $506.00;
  • And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$34.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $636.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$64.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Ethio Electric FC?

πŸ”΄ Ethio Electric FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.26. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $519.80
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$250.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ethiopian Insurance FC x Ethio Electric FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Ethiopian Insurance FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ethiopian Insurance FC x Ethio Electric FC

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Ethiopian Insurance FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Ethiopian Insurance FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Ethiopian Insurance FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ethiopian Insurance FC x Ethio Electric FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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