Etoile Carouge x FC Thun Betting tips for March 14 in Switzerland Challenge League

Our betting tip for Etoile Carouge x FC Thun, Friday, 14/3/2025

📅 14/3/2025 19:15

Etoile Carouge 2.72

X 3.21

FC Thun 2.36

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Etoile Carouge x FC Thun:

🔮 FC Thun wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Thun, you can win up to $1180.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Etoile Carouge x FC Thun: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Etoile Carouge in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $39.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Thun in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Etoile Carouge scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Etoile Carouge matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Etoile Carouge conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, FC Thun conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Etoile Carouge x FC Thun for the Switzerland Challenge League – 14 of March

When the best bet on Etoile Carouge x FC Thun is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1280623 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Etoile Carouge x FC Thun

Should you bet on Etoile Carouge?

🔵 Etoile Carouge: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $464.40;
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$265.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.21. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $618.80;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$101.20.

Should you bet on FC Thun?

🔴 FC Thun: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $612.00;
• And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$62.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Etoile Carouge x FC Thun

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Etoile Carouge
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Etoile Carouge x FC Thun

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Etoile Carouge, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Etoile Carouge.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 FC Thun.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Etoile Carouge x FC Thun

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.