Etoile Carouge x Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Betting tips for December 19 in Switzerland Challenge League

Our betting tip for Etoile Carouge x Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, Friday, 19/12/2025

📅 19/12/2025 19:15

Etoile Carouge 3.60

X 3.40

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1.90

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Etoile Carouge x Stade Lausanne-Ouchy:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Etoile Carouge x Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

The main points for the tip for Etoile Carouge x Stade Lausanne-Ouchy:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Etoile Carouge in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0.
👉 In the last 4 Etoile Carouge matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from Etoile Carouge x Stade Lausanne-Ouchy for the Switzerland Challenge League – 19 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Etoile Carouge x Stade Lausanne-Ouchy right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1454884 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Etoile Carouge x Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Is it worth betting on Etoile Carouge?

🔵 Etoile Carouge: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $546.00;
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$244.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$150.00.

Is it worth betting on Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?

🔴 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 550 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
• And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$45.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Etoile Carouge x Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Etoile Carouge
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Etoile Carouge x Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Etoile Carouge and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Etoile Carouge.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Etoile Carouge x Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.