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Home » Predictions » Others » Everton de Vina x Huachipato Betting tips for November 2 in Chile Primera Division
Saturday, 02 November 2024, 21h00 Chile Primera Division
Everton de Vina Everton de Vina
PREDICTION No tip
Huachipato Huachipato
Don't miss this prediction!

Everton de Vina x Huachipato Betting tips for November 2 in Chile Primera Division

Our betting tip for Everton de Vina x Huachipato, Saturday, 2/11/2024
📅 2/11/2024
21:00
Everton de Vina Everton de Vina
1.70
X
3.85
Huachipato Huachipato
4.19

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Everton de Vina x Huachipato:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Everton de Vina x Huachipato

Important information for your tip for Everton de Vina x Huachipato:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Everton de Vina in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-156.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Huachipato in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-130.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Huachipato scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Everton de Vina x Huachipato for the Chile Primera Division – 2 of November

🏟️ Everton de Vina X Huachipato – Chile Primera Division
📅 2 of November, 2024 – 21:00
🔵 Everton de Vina – Winning probability: 62.87% | Fair line: 1.59
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.68% | Fair line: 4.41
🔴 Huachipato – Winning probability: 14.45% | Fair line: 6.92
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Everton de Vina
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Everton de Vina and Huachipato.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1214258 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Everton de Vina x Huachipato

Is betting on Everton de Vina worth it?

🔵 Everton de Vina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 630 times – profiting $441.00;
  • And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$71.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $655.50;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$114.50.

Should you bet on Huachipato?

🔴 Huachipato: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.19. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $446.60;
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$413.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Everton de Vina x Huachipato

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Everton de Vina
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Everton de Vina x Huachipato

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Everton de Vina, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Everton de Vina.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Huachipato.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Everton de Vina x Huachipato

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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