Excelsior Maassluis x Barendrecht Betting tips for December 13 in Netherlands Tweede Divisie

Our betting tip for Excelsior Maassluis x Barendrecht, Saturday, 13/12/2025

📅 13/12/2025 13:30

Excelsior Maassluis 2.27

X 3.35

Barendrecht 2.70

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Excelsior Maassluis x Barendrecht:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Excelsior Maassluis x Barendrecht

Some important points for the tip for Excelsior Maassluis x Barendrecht:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Excelsior Maassluis in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $595.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Barendrecht in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.

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Analysis from Excelsior Maassluis x Barendrecht for the Netherlands Tweede Divisie – 13 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Excelsior Maassluis x Barendrecht right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452043 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Excelsior Maassluis x Barendrecht

Is it a good idea to bet on Excelsior Maassluis?

🔵 Excelsior Maassluis: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.27. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $584.20;
• And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$44.20. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $587.50;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$162.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Barendrecht?

🔴 Barendrecht: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $493.00
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$217.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Excelsior Maassluis x Barendrecht

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Excelsior Maassluis
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Excelsior Maassluis x Barendrecht

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Excelsior Maassluis, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Excelsior Maassluis.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Excelsior Maassluis.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Excelsior Maassluis x Barendrecht

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.