Excelsior Maassluis x Katwijk Betting tips for November 30 in Netherlands Tweede Divisie

Our betting tip for Excelsior Maassluis x Katwijk, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 13:30

Excelsior Maassluis 4.00

X 4.00

Katwijk 1.62

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Excelsior Maassluis x Katwijk:

🔮 Katwijk wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Katwijk, you can win up to $810.00!

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The main points for the tip for Excelsior Maassluis x Katwijk: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Excelsior Maassluis in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $128.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Katwijk in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $392.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Katwijk scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Katwijk, Excelsior Maassluis scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Excelsior Maassluis matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 road matches, Katwijk has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Excelsior Maassluis x Katwijk for the Netherlands Tweede Divisie – 30 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Excelsior Maassluis x Katwijk right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Excelsior Maassluis x Katwijk

Should you bet on Excelsior Maassluis?

🔵 Excelsior Maassluis: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $270.00
• And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$640.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $630.00
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$160.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Katwijk?

🔴 Katwijk: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 70.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 700 times – profiting $434.00;
• And would lose other 300 times – losing -$300.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$134.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Excelsior Maassluis x Katwijk

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Excelsior Maassluis
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Excelsior Maassluis x Katwijk

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Excelsior Maassluis and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Excelsior Maassluis.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Katwijk.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Excelsior Maassluis x Katwijk

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.