Exeter x Birmingham Betting tips for November 26 in England League 1
| 📅 26/11/2024 19:45 |
 Exeter4.88 |
X 3.78 |
Birmingham  1.66 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Exeter x Birmingham:
🔮 Birmingham wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Birmingham, you can win up to $830.00!
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Important information for your tip for Exeter x Birmingham: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Exeter in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $97.0. |
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Analysis from Exeter x Birmingham for the England League 1 – 26 of November
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🏟️ Exeter X Birmingham – England League 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Exeter x Birmingham right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1227868 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Exeter x Birmingham
Is it a good idea to bet on Exeter?
🔵 Exeter: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 60 times – profiting $232.80;
- And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$707.20.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 90 times – profiting $250.20;
- And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$659.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on Birmingham?
🔴 Birmingham: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 84.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.66. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 840 times – this would give you a profit of $554.40
- And would lose other 160 times – having a loss of -$160.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$394.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Exeter x Birmingham
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Exeter
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Exeter x Birmingham
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Exeter and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Exeter.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Exeter.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Exeter x Birmingham
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
