Exeter x Chesterfield Betting tips for November 30 in England FA Cup

Our betting tip for Exeter x Chesterfield, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:00

Exeter 2.20

X 3.40

Chesterfield 3.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Exeter x Chesterfield:

🔮 Chesterfield wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chesterfield, you can win up to $1550.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Exeter x Chesterfield: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Exeter in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-60.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chesterfield in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $168.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Chesterfield scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Exeter matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 Chesterfield matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Exeter x Chesterfield?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Exeter x Chesterfield:

Analysis from Exeter x Chesterfield for the England FA Cup – 30 of November

When the best bet on Exeter x Chesterfield is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Exeter x Chesterfield

Is it worth betting on Exeter?

🔵 Exeter: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $492.00;
• And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$98.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $384.00
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$456.00.

Is it worth betting on Chesterfield?

🔴 Chesterfield: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $903.00;
• And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$333.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Exeter x Chesterfield

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Exeter
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Exeter x Chesterfield

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Exeter and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Exeter.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Exeter x Chesterfield

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.