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Home » Predictions » Others » Express FC x Mbarara City Betting tips for November 28 in Uganda Premier League
Thursday, 28 November 2024, 16h00 Uganda Premier League
Express FC Express FC
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 35% 1 X 2
Mbarara City Mbarara City
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

Express FC x Mbarara City Betting tips for November 28 in Uganda Premier League

Our betting tip for Express FC x Mbarara City, Thursday, 28/11/2024
📅 28/11/2024
16:00
Express FC Express FC
2.23
X
3.00
Mbarara City Mbarara City
3.15

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Express FC x Mbarara City:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Express FC x Mbarara City:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Express FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $588.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Mbarara City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $440.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Mbarara City scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Express FC x Mbarara City, with Express FC as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Express FC has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Mbarara City playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Express FC x Mbarara City for the Uganda Premier League – 28 of November

🏟️ Express FC X Mbarara City – Uganda Premier League
📅 28 of November, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Express FC – Winning probability: 39.59% | Fair line: 2.53
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.74% | Fair line: 2.8
🔴 Mbarara City – Winning probability: 24.67% | Fair line: 4.05
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Express FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Express FC x Mbarara City right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229024 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Express FC x Mbarara City

Is it worth betting on Express FC?

🔵 Express FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.23. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $492.00;
  • And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$108.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $720.00;
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$80.00.

Is it worth betting on Mbarara City?

🔴 Mbarara City: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $537.50
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$212.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Express FC x Mbarara City

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Express FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Express FC x Mbarara City

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Express FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Express FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Express FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Express FC x Mbarara City

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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