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Home » Predictions » Others » Falkenbergs FF x Skövde AIK Betting tips for November 23 in Sweden Superettan Qualification
Thursday, 23 November 2023, 00h00 Sweden Superettan Qualification
Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF
PREDICTION No tip
Skövde AIK Skövde AIK
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Falkenbergs FF x Skövde AIK Betting tips for November 23 in Sweden Superettan Qualification

Our betting tip for Falkenbergs FF x Skövde AIK, Thursday, 23/11/2023
📅 23/11/2023
18:00
Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF
2.25
X
3.40
Skövde AIK Skövde AIK
2.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Falkenbergs FF x Skövde AIK:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Falkenbergs FF x Skövde AIK

Important information for your tip for Falkenbergs FF x Skövde AIK:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Falkenbergs FF in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $348.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Skövde AIK in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Falkenbergs FF scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Skövde AIK scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Falkenbergs FF matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 Skövde AIK matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Falkenbergs FF conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Skövde AIK conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Falkenbergs FF is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Falkenbergs FF x Skövde AIK

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Summary

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Analysis from Falkenbergs FF x Skövde AIK for the Sweden Superettan Qualification – 23 of November

🏟️ Falkenbergs FF X Skövde AIK – Sweden Superettan Qualification
📅 23 of November, 2023 – 18:00
🔵 Falkenbergs FF – Winning probability: 41.45% | Fair line: 2.41
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.88% | Fair line: 4.79
🔴 Skövde AIK – Winning probability: 37.67% | Fair line: 2.65
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Falkenbergs FF
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Falkenbergs FF x Skövde AIK right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Falkenbergs FF x Skövde AIK

Is it worth betting on Falkenbergs FF?

🔵 Falkenbergs FF: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $512.50;
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$77.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $504.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$286.00.

Is betting on Skövde AIK worth it?

🔴 Skövde AIK: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $684.00
  • And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$64.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Falkenbergs FF x Skövde AIK

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Falkenbergs FF
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Falkenbergs FF x Skövde AIK

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Falkenbergs FF and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Falkenbergs FF.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Falkenbergs FF x Skövde AIK

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves