Falkirk x Formartine United Betting tips for November 25 in Scotland FA Cup
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25/11/2023 15:00 |
 Falkirk1.11 |
X 8.50 |
Formartine United  13.50 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Falkirk x Formartine United:
๐ฎ Falkirk wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Falkirk, you can win up to $555.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Falkirk x Formartine United: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Falkirk in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $253.0. |
๐ Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Falkirk x Formartine United
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Analysis from Falkirk x Formartine United for the Scotland FA Cup – 25 of November
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๐๏ธ Falkirk X Formartine United – Scotland FA Cup |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Falkirk x Formartine United right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Falkirk x Formartine United
Should you bet on Falkirk?
๐ต Falkirk: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 99.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.11. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 990 times – this would give you a profit of $108.90
- And would have lost other 10 times – with a loss of -$10.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$98.90.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 10 times – profiting $75.00;
- And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$915.00.
Should you bet on Formartine United?
๐ด Formartine United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 13.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
- And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$1000.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Falkirk x Formartine United
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Falkirk
โฝ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Falkirk x Formartine United
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.25 Falkirk and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.25 Falkirk.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Falkirk x Formartine United
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.
