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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Falkirk x Formartine United Betting tips for November 25 in Scotland FA Cup
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Scotland FA Cup
Falkirk Falkirk
PREDICTION Falkirk wins Probability 0% 1 X 2
Formartine United Formartine United
ODD: @1.11 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Falkirk x Formartine United Betting tips for November 25 in Scotland FA Cup

Our betting tip for Falkirk x Formartine United, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Falkirk Falkirk
1.11
X
8.50
Formartine United Formartine United
13.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Falkirk x Formartine United:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Falkirk wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Falkirk, you can win up to $555.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Falkirk x Formartine United:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Falkirk in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $253.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Falkirk scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Formartine United scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Falkirk matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Formartine United conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Falkirk is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Falkirk x Formartine United

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Summary

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Analysis from Falkirk x Formartine United for the Scotland FA Cup – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Falkirk X Formartine United – Scotland FA Cup
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Falkirk – Winning probability: 99.24% | Fair line: 1.01
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.63% | Fair line: 157.99
๐Ÿ”ด Formartine United – Winning probability: 0.13% | Fair line: 762.66
โš– Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Falkirk
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Falkirk x Formartine United right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Falkirk x Formartine United

Should you bet on Falkirk?

๐Ÿ”ต Falkirk: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 99.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.11. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 990 times – this would give you a profit of $108.90
  • And would have lost other 10 times – with a loss of -$10.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$98.90.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $75.00;
  • And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$915.00.

Should you bet on Formartine United?

๐Ÿ”ด Formartine United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 13.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Falkirk x Formartine United

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Falkirk
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Falkirk x Formartine United

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.25 Falkirk and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.25 Falkirk.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Falkirk x Formartine United

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves