Falkirk x Hearts Betting tips for December 13 in Scotland Premiership
| 📅 13/12/2025 20:00 |
 Falkirk4.20 |
X 3.50 |
Hearts  1.80 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Falkirk x Hearts:
👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Falkirk x Hearts
Important information for your tip for Falkirk x Hearts:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Falkirk in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-132.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Hearts in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $290.0.
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Analysis from Falkirk x Hearts for the Scotland Premiership – 13 of December
🏟️ Falkirk X Hearts – Scotland Premiership
📅 13 of December, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Falkirk – Winning probability: 17.51% | Fair line: 5.71
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.11% | Fair line: 3.83
🔴 Hearts – Winning probability: 56.38% | Fair line: 1.77
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Falkirk
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Falkirk x Hearts right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1451605 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Falkirk x Hearts
Is it a good idea to bet on Falkirk?
🔵 Falkirk: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $576.00
- And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$244.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $650.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$90.00.
Is it worth betting on Hearts?
🔴 Hearts: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 560 times – profiting $448.00;
- And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$8.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Handicaps analysis for the match Falkirk x Hearts
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Falkirk
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Falkirk x Hearts
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Falkirk, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Falkirk.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Falkirk.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Falkirk x Hearts
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.
