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Home » Predictions » Others » Falkirk x Livingston Betting tips for October 8 in Scotland Championship
Tuesday, 08 October 2024, 15h45 Scotland Championship
Falkirk Falkirk
PREDICTION Falkirk wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Livingston Livingston
ODD: @1.9 Don't miss this prediction!

Falkirk x Livingston Betting tips for October 8 in Scotland Championship

Our betting tip for Falkirk x Livingston, Tuesday, 8/10/2024
📅 8/10/2024
15:45
Falkirk Falkirk
1.90
X
3.46
Livingston Livingston
3.74

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Falkirk x Livingston:

🔮 Falkirk wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Falkirk, you can win up to $950.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Falkirk x Livingston:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Falkirk in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $497.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Livingston in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $33.0.
👉 Livingston did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Falkirk scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Livingston matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Falkirk conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Livingston.
👉 Falkirk is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Livingston has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Falkirk x Livingston?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Falkirk x Livingston, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Falkirk x Livingston for the Scotland Championship – 8 of October

🏟️ Falkirk X Livingston – Scotland Championship
📅 8 of October, 2024 – 15:45
🔵 Falkirk – Winning probability: 65.32% | Fair line: 1.53
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.92% | Fair line: 4.78
🔴 Livingston – Winning probability: 13.76% | Fair line: 7.27
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Falkirk
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Falkirk x Livingston right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1196658 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Falkirk x Livingston

Is it worth betting on Falkirk?

🔵 Falkirk: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 65.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 650 times – profiting $585.00;
  • And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$235.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.46. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $516.60;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$273.40.

Is betting on Livingston worth it?

🔴 Livingston: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $383.60;
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$476.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Falkirk x Livingston

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Falkirk
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Falkirk x Livingston

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Falkirk, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Falkirk. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Falkirk x Livingston

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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