Faraones Texcoco x Club Atlético San Juan de Aragón Betting tips for November 30 in Mexico Segunda Division

Our betting tip for Faraones Texcoco x Club Atlético San Juan de Aragón, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 01:00

Faraones Texcoco 1.20

X 5.50

Club Atlético San Juan de Aragón 11.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Faraones Texcoco x Club Atlético San Juan de Aragón:

🔮 Faraones Texcoco wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Faraones Texcoco, you can win up to $600.00!

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The main points for the tip for Faraones Texcoco x Club Atlético San Juan de Aragón: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Faraones Texcoco in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-70.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Atlético San Juan de Aragón in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Club Atlético San Juan de Aragón did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Faraones Texcoco scored at least 1.0 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Faraones Texcoco conceded at least 1.0 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Club Atlético San Juan de Aragón conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Club Atlético San Juan de Aragón as away team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Faraones Texcoco x Club Atlético San Juan de Aragón for the Mexico Segunda Division – 30 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Faraones Texcoco x Club Atlético San Juan de Aragón right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Faraones Texcoco x Club Atlético San Juan de Aragón

Is it a good idea to bet on Faraones Texcoco?

🔵 Faraones Texcoco: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 97.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 970 times – having a profit of $194.00;
• And would lose other 30 times – losing -$30.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$164.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $90.00;
• And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$890.00.

Is betting on Club Atlético San Juan de Aragón worth it?

🔴 Club Atlético San Juan de Aragón: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 11.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $100.00
• And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$890.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Faraones Texcoco x Club Atlético San Juan de Aragón

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Faraones Texcoco
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Faraones Texcoco x Club Atlético San Juan de Aragón

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Faraones Texcoco and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Faraones Texcoco.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.75 Club Atlético San Juan de Aragón.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Faraones Texcoco x Club Atlético San Juan de Aragón

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.