Fasil Kenema x Shire Endaselassie FC Betting tips for October 1 in Ethiopia Premier League
📅 1/10/2024 10:00 |
Fasil Kenema 2.05 |
X 3.00 |
Shire Endaselassie FC 3.40 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Fasil Kenema x Shire Endaselassie FC:
👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Fasil Kenema x Shire Endaselassie FC
Some important points for the tip for Fasil Kenema x Shire Endaselassie FC: 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Shire Endaselassie FC scored at least 1 goal(s). |
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Analysis from Fasil Kenema x Shire Endaselassie FC for the Ethiopia Premier League – 1 of October
🏟️ Fasil Kenema X Shire Endaselassie FC – Ethiopia Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fasil Kenema x Shire Endaselassie FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Fasil Kenema x Shire Endaselassie FC
Is it a good idea to bet on Fasil Kenema?
🔵 Fasil Kenema: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $535.50;
- And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$45.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $520.00
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$220.00.
Is it worth betting on Shire Endaselassie FC?
🔴 Shire Endaselassie FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $552.00;
- And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$218.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Fasil Kenema x Shire Endaselassie FC
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Fasil Kenema
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fasil Kenema x Shire Endaselassie FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Fasil Kenema and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Fasil Kenema.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Shire Endaselassie FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fasil Kenema x Shire Endaselassie FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.