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Home » Predictions » Others » Fatih Karagumruk x Esenler Erokspor Betting tips for December 1 in Türkiye – 1 Lig
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 16h00 Türkiye - 1 Lig
Fatih Karagumruk Fatih Karagumruk
PREDICTION Fatih Karagumruk wins Probability 78% 1 X 2
Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor
ODD: @1.55 Don't miss this prediction!

Fatih Karagumruk x Esenler Erokspor Betting tips for December 1 in Türkiye – 1 Lig

Our betting tip for Fatih Karagumruk x Esenler Erokspor, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
16:00
Fatih Karagumruk Fatih Karagumruk
1.55
X
3.90
Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor
5.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Fatih Karagumruk x Esenler Erokspor:

🔮 Fatih Karagumruk wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fatih Karagumruk, you can win up to $775.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Fatih Karagumruk x Esenler Erokspor:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Fatih Karagumruk in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $253.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Esenler Erokspor in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $850.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Fatih Karagumruk scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Fatih Karagumruk is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Fatih Karagumruk x Esenler Erokspor?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Fatih Karagumruk x Esenler Erokspor, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Fatih Karagumruk x Esenler Erokspor for the Türkiye – 1 Lig – 1 of December

🏟️ Fatih Karagumruk X Esenler Erokspor – Türkiye – 1 Lig
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Fatih Karagumruk – Winning probability: 78.33% | Fair line: 1.28
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.55% | Fair line: 6.87
🔴 Esenler Erokspor – Winning probability: 7.12% | Fair line: 14.05
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Fatih Karagumruk
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Fatih Karagumruk x Esenler Erokspor is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fatih Karagumruk x Esenler Erokspor

Is betting on Fatih Karagumruk worth it?

🔵 Fatih Karagumruk: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 78.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 780 times – having a profit of $429.00;
  • And would lose other 220 times – having a loss of -$220.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$209.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $435.00
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$415.00.

Is betting on Esenler Erokspor worth it?

🔴 Esenler Erokspor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $280.00;
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$650.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Fatih Karagumruk x Esenler Erokspor

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Fatih Karagumruk
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fatih Karagumruk x Esenler Erokspor

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Fatih Karagumruk and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Fatih Karagumruk. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fatih Karagumruk x Esenler Erokspor

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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