Fatih Karagumruk x Kocaelispor Betting tips for December 14 in Türkiye Super Lig
| 📅 14/12/2025 14:00 |
 Fatih Karagumruk2.91 |
X 3.20 |
Kocaelispor  2.38 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Fatih Karagumruk x Kocaelispor:
🔮 Kocaelispor wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kocaelispor, you can win up to $1190.00!
Important information for your tip for Fatih Karagumruk x Kocaelispor:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fatih Karagumruk in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Kocaelispor in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-10.0.
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Analysis from Fatih Karagumruk x Kocaelispor for the Türkiye Super Lig – 14 of December
🏟️ Fatih Karagumruk X Kocaelispor – Türkiye Super Lig
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 Fatih Karagumruk – Winning probability: 23.42% | Fair line: 4.27
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.86% | Fair line: 3.46
🔴 Kocaelispor – Winning probability: 47.72% | Fair line: 2.1
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Fatih Karagumruk
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
When the best bet on Fatih Karagumruk x Kocaelispor is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452657 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Fatih Karagumruk x Kocaelispor
Is it a good idea to bet on Fatih Karagumruk?
🔵 Fatih Karagumruk: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $439.30
- And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$330.70.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $638.00;
- And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$72.00.
Is it worth betting on Kocaelispor?
🔴 Kocaelispor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $662.40
- And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$142.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Fatih Karagumruk x Kocaelispor
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Fatih Karagumruk
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fatih Karagumruk x Kocaelispor
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Fatih Karagumruk and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Fatih Karagumruk.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fatih Karagumruk x Kocaelispor
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
