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Home » Predictions » Others » FC Akhmat Grozny x FC Orenburg Betting tips for December 8 in Russia Premier League
Sunday, 08 December 2024, 16h00 Russia Premier League
FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny
PREDICTION FC Akhmat Grozny wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
FC Orenburg FC Orenburg
ODD: @1.93 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Akhmat Grozny x FC Orenburg Betting tips for December 8 in Russia Premier League

Our betting tip for FC Akhmat Grozny x FC Orenburg, Sunday, 8/12/2024
📅 8/12/2024
16:00
FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny
1.93
X
3.62
FC Orenburg FC Orenburg
3.38

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FC Akhmat Grozny x FC Orenburg:

🔮 FC Akhmat Grozny wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Akhmat Grozny, you can win up to $965.00!

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Important information for your tip for FC Akhmat Grozny x FC Orenburg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Akhmat Grozny in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Orenburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, FC Akhmat Grozny scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, FC Akhmat Grozny conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, FC Orenburg conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for FC Orenburg as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Akhmat Grozny x FC Orenburg for the Russia Premier League – 8 of December

🏟️ FC Akhmat Grozny X FC Orenburg – Russia Premier League
📅 8 of December, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 FC Akhmat Grozny – Winning probability: 60.07% | Fair line: 1.66
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.13% | Fair line: 4.52
🔴 FC Orenburg – Winning probability: 17.81% | Fair line: 5.62
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 FC Akhmat Grozny
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Akhmat Grozny and FC Orenburg.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1233707 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Akhmat Grozny x FC Orenburg

Is betting on FC Akhmat Grozny worth it?

🔵 FC Akhmat Grozny: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 60.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.93. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – this would give you a profit of $558.00
  • And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$158.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $576.40
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$203.60.

Should you bet on FC Orenburg?

🔴 FC Orenburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $428.40
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$391.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Akhmat Grozny x FC Orenburg

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 FC Akhmat Grozny
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Akhmat Grozny x FC Orenburg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 FC Akhmat Grozny, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 FC Akhmat Grozny.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Akhmat Grozny x FC Orenburg

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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