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Home » Predictions » Others » FC Den Bosch x FC Utrecht Reserves Betting tips for January 27 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Monday, 27 January 2025, 19h00 Netherlands Eerste Divisie
FC Den Bosch FC Den Bosch
PREDICTION FC Den Bosch wins Probability 68% 1 X 2
FC Utrecht Reserves FC Utrecht Reserves
ODD: @1.63 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Den Bosch x FC Utrecht Reserves Betting tips for January 27 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Our betting tip for FC Den Bosch x FC Utrecht Reserves, Monday, 27/1/2025
📅 27/1/2025
19:00
FC Den Bosch FC Den Bosch
1.63
X
3.90
FC Utrecht Reserves FC Utrecht Reserves
4.73

Our algorithm has selected this tip for FC Den Bosch x FC Utrecht Reserves:

🔮 FC Den Bosch wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Den Bosch, you can win up to $815.00!

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Important information for your tip for FC Den Bosch x FC Utrecht Reserves:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Den Bosch in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-174.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Utrecht Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, FC Den Bosch scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against FC Utrecht Reserves, FC Den Bosch scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 FC Den Bosch did not receive any yellow cards in the last 4 matches as the home team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, FC Utrecht Reserves conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, FC Den Bosch conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against FC Utrecht Reserves.

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Den Bosch x FC Utrecht Reserves for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 27 of January

🏟️ FC Den Bosch X FC Utrecht Reserves – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
📅 27 of January, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 FC Den Bosch – Winning probability: 68.35% | Fair line: 1.46
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.63% | Fair line: 4.42
🔴 FC Utrecht Reserves – Winning probability: 9.02% | Fair line: 11.09
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 FC Den Bosch
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Den Bosch x FC Utrecht Reserves right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1251998 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Den Bosch x FC Utrecht Reserves

Is it worth betting on FC Den Bosch?

🔵 FC Den Bosch: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.63. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 680 times – this would give you a profit of $428.40
  • And would lose other 320 times – having a loss of -$320.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$108.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $667.00
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$103.00.

Is it worth betting on FC Utrecht Reserves?

🔴 FC Utrecht Reserves: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.73. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $335.70;
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$574.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Den Bosch x FC Utrecht Reserves

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 FC Den Bosch
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Den Bosch x FC Utrecht Reserves

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 FC Den Bosch and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 FC Den Bosch.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 FC Utrecht Reserves.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Den Bosch x FC Utrecht Reserves

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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