FC Dordrecht x Vitesse Betting tips for October 22 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie
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22/10/2024 18:00 |
 FC Dordrecht2.04 |
X 3.70 |
Vitesse  3.05 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FC Dordrecht x Vitesse:
๐ฎ FC Dordrecht wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Dordrecht, you can win up to $1020.00!
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The main points for the tip for FC Dordrecht x Vitesse: ๐ If you had bet $100 on FC Dordrecht in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $225.0. |
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Analysis from FC Dordrecht x Vitesse for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 22 of October
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๐๏ธ FC Dordrecht X Vitesse – Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Dordrecht x Vitesse right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1206527 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Dordrecht x Vitesse
Is it a good idea to bet on FC Dordrecht?
๐ต FC Dordrecht: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 510 times – profiting $530.40;
- And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$40.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $648.00
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$112.00.
Is it worth betting on Vitesse?
๐ด Vitesse: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $492.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$268.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match FC Dordrecht x Vitesse
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FC Dordrecht
โฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Dordrecht x Vitesse
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 FC Dordrecht, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 FC Dordrecht.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Vitesse.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Dordrecht x Vitesse
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.
