FC Edinburgh x Dunfermline Betting tips for November 30 in Scotland FA Cup

Our betting tip for FC Edinburgh x Dunfermline, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:00

FC Edinburgh 11.00

X 5.72

Dunfermline 1.22

Our algorithm has selected this tip for FC Edinburgh x Dunfermline:

🔮 Dunfermline wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Dunfermline, you can win up to $610.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for FC Edinburgh x Dunfermline: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Edinburgh in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $690.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Dunfermline in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 FC Edinburgh did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, FC Edinburgh scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 FC Edinburgh matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Dunfermline conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 FC Edinburgh is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Dunfermline as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Edinburgh x Dunfermline?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Edinburgh x Dunfermline, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from FC Edinburgh x Dunfermline for the Scotland FA Cup – 30 of November

When the best bet on FC Edinburgh x Dunfermline is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Edinburgh x Dunfermline

Should you bet on FC Edinburgh?

🔵 FC Edinburgh: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 11.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $100.00
• And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$890.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $94.40;
• And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$885.60.

Is betting on Dunfermline worth it?

🔴 Dunfermline: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 96.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 970 times – having a profit of $213.40;
• And would lose other 30 times – losing -$30.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$183.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Edinburgh x Dunfermline

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 FC Edinburgh
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Edinburgh x Dunfermline

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 FC Edinburgh and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.75 FC Edinburgh.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.75 FC Edinburgh.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Edinburgh x Dunfermline

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 4.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.