FC Elva x FC Levadia Tallinn Betting tips for October 30 in Estonia Cup

Our betting tip for FC Elva x FC Levadia Tallinn, Wednesday, 30/10/2024

📅 30/10/2024 17:00

FC Elva 23.00

X 13.00

FC Levadia Tallinn 1.04

Our algorithm has selected this tip for FC Elva x FC Levadia Tallinn:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for FC Elva x FC Levadia Tallinn

Some important points for the tip for FC Elva x FC Levadia Tallinn: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Elva in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $438.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Levadia Tallinn in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $84.0. 👉 FC Levadia Tallinn did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, FC Levadia Tallinn scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 FC Elva matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, FC Elva conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 FC Levadia Tallinn is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 4 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Analysis from FC Elva x FC Levadia Tallinn for the Estonia Cup – 30 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Elva x FC Levadia Tallinn right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1212778 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Elva x FC Levadia Tallinn

Is it worth betting on FC Elva?

🔵 FC Elva: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 23.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
• And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 13.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
• And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is betting on FC Levadia Tallinn worth it?

🔴 FC Levadia Tallinn: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 100.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 1000 times – this would give you a profit of $40.00
• And would lose other 0 times – losing -$0.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$40.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Elva x FC Levadia Tallinn

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.75 FC Elva
⚽ Expected goals: 4.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Elva x FC Levadia Tallinn

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +2.75 FC Elva, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +3.25 FC Elva.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +3.25 FC Elva.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Elva x FC Levadia Tallinn

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 4.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 4.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 4.00 goals.