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Home » Predictions » Others » FC Hebar Pazardzhik x CSKA Sofia Betting tips for November 30 in Bulgaria First League
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h30 Bulgaria First League
FC Hebar Pazardzhik FC Hebar Pazardzhik
PREDICTION CSKA Sofia Wins Probability 87% 1 X 2
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
ODD: @1.31 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Hebar Pazardzhik x CSKA Sofia Betting tips for November 30 in Bulgaria First League

Our betting tip for FC Hebar Pazardzhik x CSKA Sofia, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
15:30
FC Hebar Pazardzhik FC Hebar Pazardzhik
8.88
X
4.66
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
1.31

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for FC Hebar Pazardzhik x CSKA Sofia:

🔮 CSKA Sofia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CSKA Sofia, you can win up to $655.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for FC Hebar Pazardzhik x CSKA Sofia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Hebar Pazardzhik in each of its last 3 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CSKA Sofia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-174.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, FC Hebar Pazardzhik scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, CSKA Sofia scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 CSKA Sofia matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, FC Hebar Pazardzhik conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, CSKA Sofia has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Hebar Pazardzhik x CSKA Sofia for the Bulgaria First League – 30 of November

🏟️ FC Hebar Pazardzhik X CSKA Sofia – Bulgaria First League
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 15:30
🔵 FC Hebar Pazardzhik – Winning probability: 4.19% | Fair line: 23.85
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.33% | Fair line: 12.01
🔴 CSKA Sofia – Winning probability: 87.48% | Fair line: 1.14
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.0 FC Hebar Pazardzhik
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Hebar Pazardzhik and CSKA Sofia.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Hebar Pazardzhik x CSKA Sofia

Should you bet on FC Hebar Pazardzhik?

🔵 FC Hebar Pazardzhik: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – profiting $315.20;
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$644.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.66. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $292.80;
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$627.20.

Should you bet on CSKA Sofia?

🔴 CSKA Sofia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 87.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.31. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 870 times – this would give you a profit of $269.70
  • And would have lost other 130 times – with a loss of -$130.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$139.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Hebar Pazardzhik x CSKA Sofia

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.0 FC Hebar Pazardzhik
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Hebar Pazardzhik x CSKA Sofia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +2.0 FC Hebar Pazardzhik, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.5 FC Hebar Pazardzhik.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 CSKA Sofia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Hebar Pazardzhik x CSKA Sofia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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