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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» FC Ingolstadt II x DJK Gebenbach Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Oberliga Bayern North
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Oberliga Bayern North
FC Ingolstadt II FC Ingolstadt II
PREDICTION No tip
DJK Gebenbach DJK Gebenbach
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FC Ingolstadt II x DJK Gebenbach Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Oberliga Bayern North

Our betting tip for FC Ingolstadt II x DJK Gebenbach, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
19:00
FC Ingolstadt II FC Ingolstadt II
1.90
X
3.80
DJK Gebenbach DJK Gebenbach
3.10

Our algorithm has selected this tip for FC Ingolstadt II x DJK Gebenbach:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for FC Ingolstadt II x DJK Gebenbach

The main points for the tip for FC Ingolstadt II x DJK Gebenbach:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Ingolstadt II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-19.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on DJK Gebenbach in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $24.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, DJK Gebenbach scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 DJK Gebenbach matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, DJK Gebenbach conceded at least 1 goal(s).

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for FC Ingolstadt II x DJK Gebenbach

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Ingolstadt II x DJK Gebenbach for the Germany Oberliga Bayern North – 24 of November

🏟️ FC Ingolstadt II X DJK Gebenbach – Germany Oberliga Bayern North
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 19:00
πŸ”΅ FC Ingolstadt II – Winning probability: 40.69% | Fair line: 2.46
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.37% | Fair line: 3.79
πŸ”΄ DJK Gebenbach – Winning probability: 32.95% | Fair line: 3.04
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 FC Ingolstadt II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Ingolstadt II and DJK Gebenbach.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Ingolstadt II x DJK Gebenbach

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Ingolstadt II?

πŸ”΅ FC Ingolstadt II: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $369.00
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$221.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $728.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$12.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on DJK Gebenbach worth it?

πŸ”΄ DJK Gebenbach: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $693.00
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$23.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Ingolstadt II x DJK Gebenbach

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 FC Ingolstadt II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Ingolstadt II x DJK Gebenbach

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 FC Ingolstadt II and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 FC Ingolstadt II.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 FC Ingolstadt II.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Ingolstadt II x DJK Gebenbach

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves