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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป FC Kilia Kiel x Bremer SV Betting tips for November 25 in Germany Regionalliga North
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Regionalliga North
FC Kilia Kiel FC Kilia Kiel
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 40% 1 X 2
Bremer SV Bremer SV
ODD: @3.7 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

FC Kilia Kiel x Bremer SV Betting tips for November 25 in Germany Regionalliga North

Our betting tip for FC Kilia Kiel x Bremer SV, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
14:00
FC Kilia Kiel FC Kilia Kiel
3.10
X
3.70
Bremer SV Bremer SV
1.94

Our algorithm has selected this tip for FC Kilia Kiel x Bremer SV:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1850.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for FC Kilia Kiel x Bremer SV:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Kilia Kiel in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bremer SV in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, FC Kilia Kiel scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 FC Kilia Kiel matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 Bremer SV matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, FC Kilia Kiel conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Bremer SV conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for FC Kilia Kiel as home team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last home matches.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for FC Kilia Kiel x Bremer SV

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Kilia Kiel x Bremer SV for the Germany Regionalliga North – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ FC Kilia Kiel X Bremer SV – Germany Regionalliga North
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 14:00
๐Ÿ”ต FC Kilia Kiel – Winning probability: 32.82% | Fair line: 3.05
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.92% | Fair line: 3.71
๐Ÿ”ด Bremer SV – Winning probability: 40.26% | Fair line: 2.48
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FC Kilia Kiel
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Kilia Kiel x Bremer SV right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Kilia Kiel x Bremer SV

Should you bet on FC Kilia Kiel?

๐Ÿ”ต FC Kilia Kiel: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $693.00;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$23.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $729.00
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$1.00.

Is betting on Bremer SV worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Bremer SV: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $376.00
  • And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$224.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Kilia Kiel x Bremer SV

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FC Kilia Kiel
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Kilia Kiel x Bremer SV

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 FC Kilia Kiel, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 FC Kilia Kiel.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 FC Kilia Kiel.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Kilia Kiel x Bremer SV

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves