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Home » Predictions » Others » FC Lovech x FK Fratria Betting tips for November 30 in Bulgaria Second League
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 12h00 Bulgaria Second League
FC Lovech FC Lovech
PREDICTION No tip
FK Fratria FK Fratria
Don't miss this prediction!

FC Lovech x FK Fratria Betting tips for November 30 in Bulgaria Second League

Our betting tip for FC Lovech x FK Fratria, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
12:00
FC Lovech FC Lovech
2.44
X
3.15
FK Fratria FK Fratria
2.63

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FC Lovech x FK Fratria:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for FC Lovech x FK Fratria

Some important points for the tip for FC Lovech x FK Fratria:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Lovech in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $35.0.
👉 In the last 3 FC Lovech matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, FK Fratria conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Lovech x FK Fratria for the Bulgaria Second League – 30 of November

🏟️ FC Lovech X FK Fratria – Bulgaria Second League
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 12:00
🔵 FC Lovech – Winning probability: 33.19% | Fair line: 3.01
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.45% | Fair line: 3.4
🔴 FK Fratria – Winning probability: 37.36% | Fair line: 2.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Lovech
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Lovech x FK Fratria right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Lovech x FK Fratria

Is betting on FC Lovech worth it?

🔵 FC Lovech: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $475.20
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$194.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $623.50
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$86.50.

Should you bet on FK Fratria?

🔴 FK Fratria: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.63. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – profiting $603.10;
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$26.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Lovech x FK Fratria

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Lovech
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Lovech x FK Fratria

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 FC Lovech and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 FC Lovech. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Lovech x FK Fratria

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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