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Home » Predictions » Others » FC Marisca Mersch x Residence Walferdange Betting tips for November 29 in Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur
Friday, 29 November 2024, 19h00 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur
FC Marisca Mersch FC Marisca Mersch
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 30% 1 X 2
Residence Walferdange Residence Walferdange
ODD: @3.65 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Marisca Mersch x Residence Walferdange Betting tips for November 29 in Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur

Our betting tip for FC Marisca Mersch x Residence Walferdange, Friday, 29/11/2024
📅 29/11/2024
19:00
FC Marisca Mersch FC Marisca Mersch
3.00
X
3.65
Residence Walferdange Residence Walferdange
1.98

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for FC Marisca Mersch x Residence Walferdange:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1825.00!

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Some important points for the tip for FC Marisca Mersch x Residence Walferdange:

👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Residence Walferdange conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Marisca Mersch x Residence Walferdange for the Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur – 29 of November

🏟️ FC Marisca Mersch X Residence Walferdange – Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur
📅 29 of November, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 FC Marisca Mersch – Winning probability: 22.71% | Fair line: 4.4
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.11% | Fair line: 3.32
🔴 Residence Walferdange – Winning probability: 47.18% | Fair line: 2.12
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 FC Marisca Mersch
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on FC Marisca Mersch x Residence Walferdange is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229376 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Marisca Mersch x Residence Walferdange

Should you bet on FC Marisca Mersch?

🔵 FC Marisca Mersch: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $460.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$310.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $795.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$95.00.

Is it worth betting on Residence Walferdange?

🔴 Residence Walferdange: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $460.60
  • And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$69.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Marisca Mersch x Residence Walferdange

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 FC Marisca Mersch
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Marisca Mersch x Residence Walferdange

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 FC Marisca Mersch and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 FC Marisca Mersch.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Residence Walferdange.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Marisca Mersch x Residence Walferdange

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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