FC Porto B x Penafiel Betting tips for December 12 in Portugal Segunda Liga
| 📅 12/12/2025 18:00 |
 FC Porto B2.05 |
X 3.28 |
Penafiel  3.34 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for FC Porto B x Penafiel:
🔮 FC Porto B wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Porto B, you can win up to $1025.00!
Important information for your tip for FC Porto B x Penafiel:
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Porto B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $58.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Penafiel in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $475.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, FC Porto B scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Penafiel conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 FC Porto B has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Penafiel playing at home.
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Analysis from FC Porto B x Penafiel for the Portugal Segunda Liga – 12 of December
🏟️ FC Porto B X Penafiel – Portugal Segunda Liga
📅 12 of December, 2025 – 18:00
🔵 FC Porto B – Winning probability: 62.55% | Fair line: 1.6
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.13% | Fair line: 4.73
🔴 Penafiel – Winning probability: 16.32% | Fair line: 6.13
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Porto B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
When the best bet on FC Porto B x Penafiel is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452043 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Porto B x Penafiel
Should you bet on FC Porto B?
🔵 FC Porto B: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 630 times – having a profit of $661.50;
- And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$291.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – profiting $478.80;
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$311.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on Penafiel?
🔴 Penafiel: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.34. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $374.40;
- And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$465.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match FC Porto B x Penafiel
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Porto B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Porto B x Penafiel
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 FC Porto B and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 FC Porto B.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Penafiel.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Porto B x Penafiel
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
