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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป FC Utrecht Reserves x De Graafschap Betting tips for November 24 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Netherlands Eerste Divisie
FC Utrecht Reserves FC Utrecht Reserves
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 62% 1 X 2
De Graafschap De Graafschap
ODD: @3.8 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

FC Utrecht Reserves x De Graafschap Betting tips for November 24 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Our betting tip for FC Utrecht Reserves x De Graafschap, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
19:00
FC Utrecht Reserves FC Utrecht Reserves
3.79
X
3.80
De Graafschap De Graafschap
1.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for FC Utrecht Reserves x De Graafschap:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1900.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for FC Utrecht Reserves x De Graafschap:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Utrecht Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $855.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on De Graafschap in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $130.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, FC Utrecht Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between FC Utrecht Reserves x De Graafschap, with FC Utrecht Reserves as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 De Graafschap matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, FC Utrecht Reserves conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, De Graafschap conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, FC Utrecht Reserves conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against De Graafschap.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for FC Utrecht Reserves x De Graafschap

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Utrecht Reserves x De Graafschap?

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Analysis from FC Utrecht Reserves x De Graafschap for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ FC Utrecht Reserves X De Graafschap – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต FC Utrecht Reserves – Winning probability: 7.85% | Fair line: 12.74
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.71% | Fair line: 3.37
๐Ÿ”ด De Graafschap – Winning probability: 62.44% | Fair line: 1.6
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FC Utrecht Reserves
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on FC Utrecht Reserves x De Graafschap is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024961 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Utrecht Reserves x De Graafschap

Is betting on FC Utrecht Reserves worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต FC Utrecht Reserves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.79. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $223.20
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$696.80.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $840.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$140.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on De Graafschap?

๐Ÿ”ด De Graafschap: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 620 times – profiting $496.00;
  • And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just ๐Ÿ’ฐ$116.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Utrecht Reserves x De Graafschap

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FC Utrecht Reserves
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Utrecht Reserves x De Graafschap

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 FC Utrecht Reserves and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 FC Utrecht Reserves.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 FC Utrecht Reserves.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Utrecht Reserves x De Graafschap

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves