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Home » Predictions » Others » FC Utrecht Reserves x Excelsior Betting tips for November 26 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Tuesday, 26 November 2024, 19h00 Netherlands Eerste Divisie
FC Utrecht Reserves FC Utrecht Reserves
PREDICTION Excelsior Wins Probability 85% 1 X 2
Excelsior Excelsior
ODD: @1.57 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Utrecht Reserves x Excelsior Betting tips for November 26 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Our betting tip for FC Utrecht Reserves x Excelsior, Tuesday, 26/11/2024
📅 26/11/2024
19:00
FC Utrecht Reserves FC Utrecht Reserves
4.75
X
4.12
Excelsior Excelsior
1.57

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FC Utrecht Reserves x Excelsior:

🔮 Excelsior wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Excelsior, you can win up to $785.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for FC Utrecht Reserves x Excelsior:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Utrecht Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-265.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Excelsior in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $110.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Excelsior scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, FC Utrecht Reserves conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Excelsior is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on FC Utrecht Reserves x Excelsior?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on FC Utrecht Reserves x Excelsior:

Analysis from FC Utrecht Reserves x Excelsior for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 26 of November

🏟️ FC Utrecht Reserves X Excelsior – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
📅 26 of November, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 FC Utrecht Reserves – Winning probability: 4.75% | Fair line: 21.06
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.70% | Fair line: 10.31
🔴 Excelsior – Winning probability: 85.56% | Fair line: 1.17
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 FC Utrecht Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Utrecht Reserves x Excelsior right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1227868 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Utrecht Reserves x Excelsior

Is betting on FC Utrecht Reserves worth it?

🔵 FC Utrecht Reserves: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – profiting $187.50;
  • And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$762.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $312.00
  • And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$588.00.

Is betting on Excelsior worth it?

🔴 Excelsior: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 85.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 860 times – having a profit of $490.20;
  • And would lose other 140 times – having a loss of -$140.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$350.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Utrecht Reserves x Excelsior

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 FC Utrecht Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Utrecht Reserves x Excelsior

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 FC Utrecht Reserves, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 FC Utrecht Reserves.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 FC Utrecht Reserves.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Utrecht Reserves x Excelsior

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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