FC Vado x NovaRomentino Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 14/12/2025 14:00 |
 FC Vado1.78 |
X 3.70 |
NovaRomentino  3.60 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FC Vado x NovaRomentino:
🔮 FC Vado wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Vado, you can win up to $890.00!
The main points for the tip for FC Vado x NovaRomentino:
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Vado in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $223.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on NovaRomentino in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 NovaRomentino did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, FC Vado scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against NovaRomentino, FC Vado scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, NovaRomentino conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 FC Vado has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against NovaRomentino.
👉 It is not a good time for NovaRomentino as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.
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Analysis from FC Vado x NovaRomentino for the Italy Serie D – 14 of December
🏟️ FC Vado X NovaRomentino – Italy Serie D
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 FC Vado – Winning probability: 64.06% | Fair line: 1.56
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.35% | Fair line: 5.45
🔴 NovaRomentino – Winning probability: 17.59% | Fair line: 5.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 FC Vado
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
When the best bet on FC Vado x NovaRomentino is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452657 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Vado x NovaRomentino
Should you bet on FC Vado?
🔵 FC Vado: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 64.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 640 times – this would give you a profit of $499.20
- And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$139.20.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $486.00;
- And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$334.00.
Is betting on NovaRomentino worth it?
🔴 NovaRomentino: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $468.00;
- And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$352.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match FC Vado x NovaRomentino
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 FC Vado
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Vado x NovaRomentino
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 FC Vado, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 FC Vado.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 FC Vado.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Vado x NovaRomentino
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
