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Home Β» Predictions Β» FC Zurich x Lugano Betting tips for December 17 in Switzerland Super League
Wednesday, 17 December 2025, 19h30 Switzerland Super League
FC Zurich FC Zurich
PREDICTION No tip
Lugano Lugano
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FC Zurich x Lugano Betting tips for December 17 in Switzerland Super League

Our betting tip for FC Zurich x Lugano, Wednesday, 17/12/2025
πŸ“… 17/12/2025
19:30
FC Zurich FC Zurich
2.85
X
3.45
Lugano Lugano
2.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FC Zurich x Lugano:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for FC Zurich x Lugano

Some important points for the tip for FC Zurich x Lugano:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Zurich in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $181.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lugano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $308.0.
πŸ‘‰ Lugano did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, FC Zurich scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Lugano, FC Zurich scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Lugano matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Lugano has not lost any of them.
πŸ‘‰ FC Zurich has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Lugano playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on FC Zurich x Lugano?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Zurich x Lugano, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from FC Zurich x Lugano for the Switzerland Super League – 17 of December

🏟️ FC Zurich X Lugano – Switzerland Super League
πŸ“… 17 of December, 2025 – 19:30
πŸ”΅ FC Zurich – Winning probability: 27.60% | Fair line: 3.62
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.84% | Fair line: 3.59
πŸ”΄ Lugano – Winning probability: 44.56% | Fair line: 2.24
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Zurich
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Zurich x Lugano right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452605 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Zurich x Lugano

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Zurich?

πŸ”΅ FC Zurich: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $518.00
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$202.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $686.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$34.00.

Is it worth betting on Lugano?

πŸ”΄ Lugano: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $585.00
  • And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$35.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Zurich x Lugano

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Zurich
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Zurich x Lugano

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 FC Zurich and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 FC Zurich.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 FC Zurich.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Zurich x Lugano

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves