Fiorentina x Pafos FC Betting tips for November 28 in UEFA Conference League
| 📅 28/11/2024 20:00 |
 Fiorentina1.28 |
X 5.37 |
Pafos FC  8.93 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Fiorentina x Pafos FC:
🔮 Fiorentina wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fiorentina, you can win up to $640.00!
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The main points for the tip for Fiorentina x Pafos FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fiorentina in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $546.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Fiorentina x Pafos FC?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Fiorentina x Pafos FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Fiorentina x Pafos FC for the UEFA Conference League – 28 of November
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🏟️ Fiorentina X Pafos FC – UEFA Conference League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fiorentina x Pafos FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229024 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Fiorentina x Pafos FC
Is it a good idea to bet on Fiorentina?
🔵 Fiorentina: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 86.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 860 times – having a profit of $240.80;
- And would have lost other 140 times – with a loss of -$140.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$100.80.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $305.90;
- And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$624.10.
Is it worth betting on Pafos FC?
🔴 Pafos FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.93. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 70 times – profiting $555.10;
- And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$374.90.
Handicaps analysis for the match Fiorentina x Pafos FC
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Fiorentina
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fiorentina x Pafos FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Fiorentina, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Fiorentina.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Pafos FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fiorentina x Pafos FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
