Fiorentina U20 x Empoli U20 Betting tips for January 4 in Italy Campionato Primavera 1

Our betting tip for Fiorentina U20 x Empoli U20, Saturday, 4/1/2025

📅 4/1/2025 10:00

Fiorentina U20 1.73

X 3.75

Empoli U20 3.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Fiorentina U20 x Empoli U20:

🔮 Fiorentina U20 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fiorentina U20, you can win up to $865.00!

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The main points for the tip for Fiorentina U20 x Empoli U20: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fiorentina U20 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-122.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Empoli U20 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-160.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Empoli U20, Fiorentina U20 scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Fiorentina U20 x Empoli U20, with Fiorentina U20 as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Fiorentina U20 has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Empoli U20 playing at home.

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Analysis from Fiorentina U20 x Empoli U20 for the Italy Campionato Primavera 1 – 4 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fiorentina U20 x Empoli U20 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1241796 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fiorentina U20 x Empoli U20

Is betting on Fiorentina U20 worth it?

🔵 Fiorentina U20: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 61.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.73. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 620 times – profiting $452.60;
• And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$72.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $550.00;
• And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$250.00.

Is it worth betting on Empoli U20?

🔴 Empoli U20: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $504.00;
• And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$316.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fiorentina U20 x Empoli U20

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Fiorentina U20
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fiorentina U20 x Empoli U20

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Fiorentina U20 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Fiorentina U20.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Empoli U20.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fiorentina U20 x Empoli U20

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.