FK Arsenal x OFK Mladost DG Betting tips for November 25 in Montenegro Prva Liga
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25/11/2023 12:00 |
 FK Arsenal2.00 |
X 3.02 |
OFK Mladost DG  3.61 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for FK Arsenal x OFK Mladost DG:
π Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for FK Arsenal x OFK Mladost DG
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Important information for your tip for FK Arsenal x OFK Mladost DG: π If you had bet $100 on FK Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-325.0. |
π Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for FK Arsenal x OFK Mladost DG
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Analysis from FK Arsenal x OFK Mladost DG for the Montenegro Prva Liga – 25 of November
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ποΈ FK Arsenal X OFK Mladost DG – Montenegro Prva Liga |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FK Arsenal and OFK Mladost DG.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for FK Arsenal x OFK Mladost DG
Is it worth betting on FK Arsenal?
π΅ FK Arsenal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $510.00
- And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just π°$20.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $565.60
- And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$154.40.
Should you bet on OFK Mladost DG?
π΄ OFK Mladost DG: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $574.20
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$205.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match FK Arsenal x OFK Mladost DG
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FK Arsenal
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Arsenal x OFK Mladost DG
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 FK Arsenal and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 FK Arsenal.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 OFK Mladost DG.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Arsenal x OFK Mladost DG
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
