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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x FK Yenisey Betting tips for September 14 in Russia Division 1
Saturday, 14 September 2024, 12h00 Russia Division 1
FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk
PREDICTION FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk wins Probability 54% 1 X 2
FK Yenisey FK Yenisey
ODD: @1.99 Don't miss this prediction!

FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x FK Yenisey Betting tips for September 14 in Russia Division 1

Our betting tip for FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x FK Yenisey, Saturday, 14/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 14/9/2024
12:00
FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk
1.99
X
3.15
FK Yenisey FK Yenisey
3.48

Our algorithm has selected this tip for FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x FK Yenisey:

๐Ÿ”ฎ FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk, you can win up to $995.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x FK Yenisey:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $41.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FK Yenisey in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $171.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 FK Yenisey matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against FK Yenisey.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x FK Yenisey?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x FK Yenisey, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x FK Yenisey for the Russia Division 1 – 14 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk X FK Yenisey – Russia Division 1
๐Ÿ“… 14 of September, 2024 – 12:00
๐Ÿ”ต FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk – Winning probability: 54.05% | Fair line: 1.85
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.38% | Fair line: 3.65
๐Ÿ”ด FK Yenisey – Winning probability: 18.57% | Fair line: 5.38
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x FK Yenisey right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1179779 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x FK Yenisey

Is it a good idea to bet on FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk?

๐Ÿ”ต FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.99. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $534.60
  • And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$74.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $580.50
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$149.50.

Is it worth betting on FK Yenisey?

๐Ÿ”ด FK Yenisey: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $471.20;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$338.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x FK Yenisey

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x FK Yenisey

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x FK Yenisey

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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